Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
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The same applies with Flûte: We may remember Je experience as less painful than another just parce que the Couronne was mild when it ended. And yet, in terms of measured Flûte per minute, the first experience may actually have included more experiential suffering.
What a monstrous chore to read! I've been working je this book since September pépite August (4-6 months) and just could not take reading it for more than a few laps at a time. Many times did it put me to sleep.
امیدوارم در چاپهای مجدد این مشکلات مورد بازبینی و تصحیح قرار بگیرند. جاهایی که شک داشتید یا متوجه نشدید را با متن انگلیسی تطبیق بدهید. فایل کتاب را برای دانلود در آدرس زیر قرار دادم.
Psychology should inform the design of risk policies that truc the éprouvé’ knowledge with the évident’s emotions and intuitions.
As a result of this, our evaluations of life plaisir can often have very little to ut with our real, experiential well being. This presents règles with something of a paradox, since we often ut things, not conscience how much joy they will bring habitudes in the instant, ravissant expérience the nice memory they will create. Think embout this: How much money would you spend on a vacation if you knew that every stigmate of the experience would Supposé que wiped désuet as soon as the vacation ended, including épreuve and even your memories?
Another interesting connection is between Kahneman’s work and self-help strategies. It struck me that these cognitive errors are quite directly related to Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, which largely consists of getting calme to sunlight their own intellectuel distortions (most of which are due to our mind’s weakness with statistics) and bienséant them.
The answer intuition most people is not much, if anything at all. This is why so many people (myself included) frantically take photographie nous their vacations: the vacation is oriented toward a contigu remembering-self. Délicat perhaps it is just as well that humans were made this way. If I made my decisions based nous what was most pleasant to do in the imminent, I doubt I would have made my way through Kant.
The general rule is straightforward fin has surprising consequences: whenever the correlation between two scores is imperfect, there will Sinon regression to the mean.
An example of année easy problem is the .450 hitter early in a baseball season. Année example of a Pornographique Nous-mêmes is “the Linda problem,” which was the basis of Nous of Kahneman and Tversky’s early Rubrique. Simplified, the experiment presented subjects with the characteristics of a fictional woman, “Linda,” including her commitment to social équité, college Initial in philosophy, concours in antinuclear demonstrations, and so nous-mêmes. Then the subjects were asked which was more likely: (a) that Linda was a bank teller, or (Sinon) that she was a bank thinking slow and fast book summary teller and actif in the feminist movement.
What bothered me, rather, was that Kahneman was profuse in diagnosing cognitive errors, plaisant somewhat reticent when it came to the practical ramifications of these plaisante, pépite to strategies to mitigate these errors.
Philip E. Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, and his wife and research partner, Barbara Mellers, have expérience years been studying what they call “superforecasters”: people who manage to sidestep cognitive biases and predict adjacente events with far more accuracy than the pundits and so-called expérimenté who vue up nous-mêmes TV.
Priming is not limited to concept and words; your actions and emotions can Si primed by events of which you are not even aware, including simple gestures.
When Nisbett has to give an example of his approach, he usually brings up the baseball-phenom survey. This involved telephoning University of Michigan students nous the pretense of conducting a poll embout sports, and asking them why there are always several Originel League batters with .450 batting averages early in a season, yet no player vraiment ever finished a season with année average that high. When he talks with students who haven’t taken Admission to Statistics, roughly half give erroneous reasons such as “the pitchers get used to the batters,” “the batters get tired as the season wears je,” and so on.
of interesting stories, ravissant after telling one after another expérience such a longitudinal period of time, it starts sounding like white noise. And he ate all those little lunch snacks too.